Surge in variety of ‘extraordinarily productive’ authors issues scientists


A researcher works with samples from bats at an on site lab near the Khao Chong Pran Cave in Ratchaburi, Thailand.

Thailand skilled the largest relative bounce in extraordinarily productive researchers between 2016 and 2022.Credit score: Lauren DeCicca/Getty

As much as 4 occasions extra researchers pump out greater than 60 papers a yr than lower than a decade in the past1. Saudi Arabia and Thailand noticed the sharpest uptick within the variety of such scientists over the previous few years, in response to a preprint posted on bioRxiv on 24 November. The rise in these ‘extraordinarily productive’ authors raises issues that some researchers are resorting to doubtful strategies to publish further papers.

“I think that questionable analysis practices and fraud might underlie a few of the most excessive behaviours,” says research co-author John Ioannidis, a doctor specializing in metascience at Stanford College in California. “Our information present a place to begin for discussing these points throughout all science.”

Ioannidis and his colleagues examined articles, opinions and convention papers listed within the Scopus database between 2000 and 2022. They excluded physics authors, who are likely to publish giant numbers of papers as a result of authorship practices on this subject differ from these of different topics. The researchers tracked how extraordinarily productive authorship has modified over time in varied nations and fields.

Total, most extraordinarily productive authors outdoors of physics have been in scientific drugs, which had almost 700 of those supercharged researchers in 2022 (see ‘Hyper-productive fields’). Agriculture, fisheries and forestry noticed the speediest development in extraordinarily productive researchers, rising by 14 occasions between 2016 and 2022, adopted by biology and arithmetic and statistics.

In 2022 alone, 1,266 non-physics authors revealed the equal of 1 paper each 5 days, together with weekends, in contrast with 387 in 2016. The accelerated development since 2016 was stunning, says Ioannidis, as a result of an earlier evaluation2 confirmed that excessive productiveness was starting to plateau in 2014. “There was a really quick improve,” he says.

Hyper-productive fields: Bar chart showing number of extremely productive authors by field excluding physics.

Supply: Ref. 1.

Exterior physics, most nations greater than doubled the variety of extraordinarily productive authors between 2016 and 2022, though some nations noticed even greater leaps (see ‘Excessive development’). Thailand jumped from 1 extraordinarily productive creator in 2016 to 19 in 2022, the biggest relative improve of all nations. Nonetheless, Saudi Arabia noticed the largest development in absolute phrases, rising from 6 to 69 extraordinarily productive authors over the identical interval.

Thailand has solely a handful of authors who churn out enormous volumes of papers every year, however the sudden improve in excessive productiveness is regarding, says Tirayut Vilaivan, a member of the Workplace of Tutorial and Analysis Integrity at Chulalongkorn College in Bangkok, which develops analysis insurance policies and requirements. “We can not ignore that,” he says.

Underlying elements

The uptick might be pushed at the very least partly by the nation’s research-funding system, which has switched to favouring giant interdisciplinary groups as a substitute of small teams, making it simpler for researchers to get their names on extra papers, says David Harding, a chemist at Suranaree College of Expertise in Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand. “Thailand has undergone a radical overhaul of its analysis ecosystem in an try to enhance productiveness,” says Harding.

One other contributing issue is likely to be Thailand’s give attention to college rankings, that are underpinned by publication numbers and metrics, says Vilaivan. He provides that many universities within the nation use money incentives to encourage researchers to publish in outstanding journals. If researchers play their playing cards proper, they will earn as much as 1 million Baht (US$28,000) a yr by way of publications alone, he says .

Extreme Growth: Line chart showing number of extremely productive authors from 2006 to 2022 in a number of regions.

Supply: Ref. 1.

The mix of such a burgeoning ‘publish or perish’ tradition and a financial reward system creates fertile grounds for shady actors to flourish, provides Vilaivan. Through the pandemic, paper mills — unlawful companies that promote pretend papers to researchers — started surfacing in Thailand, he says.

Crackdown on questionable practices

However Thailand is starting to analyze researchers who’ve a suspiciously excessive variety of revealed papers. In January, the Ministry of Larger Schooling, Science, Analysis and Innovation investigated whether or not misconduct was happening at Thailand’s universities by analyzing researchers with unusually prolific publication data or a number of papers outdoors their experience. The probe discovered that 33 researchers at 8 universities had paid for authorship, with dozens of different folks suspected of itemizing their names on papers they’d purchased.

Ioannidis thinks that, to stem the rising tide of extraordinarily productive authors, analysis establishments and funding businesses ought to give attention to the standard of a researcher’s work as a substitute of on the quantity of papers they publish. This may stop scientists from reducing corners. “The variety of papers ought to not likely depend as constructive or destructive,” he says.


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